BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 10 Overall: (7-1) Overall Strength = 78.81
Conference: North Iowa Record: (6-1) | District: 3A-01 Record: (2-0)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/05/1986 Home W * 72.67 21 6 3A 47 ( 5- 3) Clear Lake -4.94 19.94
2 09/12/1986 Home L * 68.55 12 19 1A 2 (11- 1) Britt -9.05 2.05
3 09/19/1986 Away W * * 79.33 28 7 3A 48 ( 3- 5) Osage 1.73 19.27
4 09/26/1986 Away W * 94.32 35 0 2A 32 ( 4- 4) Lake Mills 16.72 18.28 homecoming
5 10/03/1986 Home W * 82.32 29 0 2A 38 ( 4- 4) Garner-Hayfield 4.71 24.29 homecoming
6 10/10/1986 Away W * 75.67 21 0 A 22 ( 3- 5) Buffalo Center-Rake -1.93 22.93
7 10/17/1986 Home W * 64.42 22 6 1A 40 ( 1- 7) Northwood-Kensett -13.18 * 29.18
8 10/24/1986 Away W * 83.55 50 14 2A 51 ( 2- 6) Belmond 5.94 * 30.06
9 10/31/1986 Home 78.81 0 0 ZZ 45 ( 0- 0) open 0.00 X 28.54
Averages 74.43 24.2 5.8
Best game: 94.32 = 35 point win over Lake Mills
Worst game: 49.07 = tie with open
Team stdev: 12.98